# AI Research — Neuvottelija AI

Section index. 30 articles.

- 2026-09-07 — [Russia's Unsafe Skies | Pekka Toveri | Neuvottelija 407](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep407-venajan-turvaton-taivas-pekka-toveri/index.md): Member of the European Parliament and former chief of intelligence, Major General (ret.) Pekka Toveri assesses the Ukraine-Russia war from Brussels on the edge of winter. Zelenskyi has declared Russian airspace unsafe, Putin is preparing a quiet mobilisation for after the Duma elections and Russia's monthly losses now exceed its recruitment, but the Iran war has taken the Patriot missiles and ballistic missiles are getting through. Toveri explains how Ukraine is restoring movement to the battlefield under cover of the drone bubble, why glide bombs are Ukraine's worst problem, and how Flamingo, ground robots and AI weapons are changing the war. It closes on the EU's 90 billion in financing, the growth of European defence budgets and the quality of Finland's conscript army. Published 7 September 2026.
  - sections: research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ep407-venajan-turvaton-taivas-pekka-toveri/
- 2026-08-25 — [Elon Musk Owns the Whole World | Mikko Alasaarela | Negotiator 403](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep403-elon-musk-omistaa-koko-maailman-mikko-alasaarela/index.md): Mikko Alasaarela opens with a claim that sounds like a conspiracy theory and turns out to be an engineering calculation: Elon Musk has acquired control of the entire technology stack, from solar panels and batteries to chips, models, robots, space and communications. The missing piece was his own fabrication, and the Terafab rising in Texas removes the dependency on ASML, TSMC and Nvidia. This article works through the episode's claims and checks the key figures against public sources: Terafab's $16.8bn initial investment, the $1.25 trillion SpaceX–xAI merger, the $60bn all-stock Cursor deal, Starlink's 65 MHz spectrum purchase and Anthropic's ownership structure. It also carries a correction to episode 132 from 2022: Musk was not trolling with the Twitter share — he succeeded there too.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep403-elon-musk-omistaa-koko-maailman-mikko-alasaarela/
- 2026-08-09 — [SEO, GEO and Three Web Architectures: What We Learned from Neuvottelija and DCM Capital](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/seo-geo-cloudflare-wordpress/index.md): A field report from rebuilding www.neuvottelija.com and www.neuvottelija.fi on Cloudflare while keeping www.dcmcapital.fi on WordPress: what Astro changed, why agent readiness reached 100/100 and 93/100, and how Codex, Gemini and Claude now monitor search and generative-engine findability every week.
  - sections: tools, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/tools/seo-geo-cloudflare-wordpress/
- 2026-08-06 — [Spain's Ceuta Migration Crisis and Border Security | Joakim Vigelius | Neuvottelija 399](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep399-espanjan-siirtolaiskriisi-seuta-joakim-vigelius/index.md): MP Joakim Vigelius and Sami Miettinen analyse the Ceuta border crisis in Spain, European migration policies, and Finland's emergency border security legislation.
  - sections: research, economy
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ep399-espanjan-siirtolaiskriisi-seuta-joakim-vigelius/
- 2026-08-03 — [Origins of the Coronavirus | Jari Kuikanmäki | Negotiator 398](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep398-origins-of-coronavirus-jari-kuikanmaki/index.md): Recorded in English days after Anthony Fauci invoked the Fifth Amendment more than a hundred times before a Senate hearing, and weeks after journalist Jari Kuikanmäki's book on the pandemic's origins went to print. Kuikanmäki lays out the case he spent years building, and Miettinen presses on the second half of the story: how authorities, the WHO and the platforms handled dissent, why every country produced its own local truth, and what the collapse of institutional trust costs the next time an authority is right.
  - sections: society, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/yhteiskunta/ep398-origins-of-coronavirus-jari-kuikanmaki/
- 2026-07-30 — [Can AI Make Things Cheaper—and Governments Riskier?](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ai-deflation-wages-sovereign-risk/index.md): How Sami Miettinen used Gemini 3.6 Thinking, Codex GPT-5.6 SOL, Python and public FRED data to turn an intuition about AI, wages, tax bases and sovereign risk into a falsifiable working paper—and why the first test did not confirm the thesis.
  - sections: research, economy
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ai-deflation-wages-sovereign-risk/
- 2026-07-25 — [When GPS Stops at the Waterline: What Scuba Diving Taught Me About AI](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/when-gps-stops-at-the-waterline-ai-diving/index.md): A dive in Kos became a practical lesson in underwater navigation, human judgement, AI estimation and why human-in-the-loop systems still matter.
  - sections: openclaw, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/openclaw/kun-gps-loppuu-vesirajaan/
- 2026-05-18 — [Pearl, Friston, and the Strategic Sound of a Cooling Fan](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/pearl-vs-friston/index.md): Four AI workers debate Pearl-style vs Friston-style agent ontology. Tapio Nissilä adds HAR as a third axis: per-path supervision (Audit / Monitor / Approve / Command), not per-agent autonomy.
  - sections: openclaw, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/openclaw/pearl-vs-friston/
- 2026-04-18 — [Why Nathan B Jones Matters to Our Second Brain](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/nathan-b-jones-second-brain/index.md): Personal context is the moat, capture is cheap, curation is the work, and trust is built by retrieval. Nathan B Jones' framing applied to Samantha and Stöbä.
  - sections: openclaw, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/openclaw/nathan-b-jones-second-brain/
- 2026-03-02 — [The End of Human Labor | Juhani Mykkänen | Neuvottelija 374](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep374-ihmistyon-loppu-juhani-mykkanen/index.md): Wolt founding team member and former Helsingin Sanomat journalist Juhani Mykkänen spent a couple of months meeting more than 60 decision-makers to find out how Finland is preparing for the AI transition — and found that nobody has the time. The episode works through Citrini Research's doomer scenario, in which AI first cuts corporate costs and then collapses wage-based purchasing power, and the question Hamilton Lane's chairman would not answer: which force is larger, companies getting more efficient or consumers getting poorer. The second half covers agentic governance as an accelerator rather than a brake, Klarna as the cautionary case, data-centric company architecture and sovereignty — closing on Tegmark's urn theory, Musk's simulation thinking, the first wave of AI-user burnout, and why your body is the only home you live in.
  - sections: research, economy
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ep374-ihmistyon-loppu-juhani-mykkanen/
- 2025-11-10 — [Economy, AI and Europe's role in the AI race | Sami Miettinen on AI Kanava](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ai-kanava-talous-tekoaly-ja-euroopan-rooli/index.md): Sami Miettinen joins Lasse Mikkonen and Harri Juntunen on AI Kanava, recorded at the Neuvottelija studio. An investment banker returns to coding through no-code tools, and the conversation moves from a security bug in a vibe-coded CRM to what happens to enterprise SaaS when AI becomes the interface, the capital allocation problem that leaves Finnish companies two-thirds foreign-owned, three regulatory models, and how far a negotiation can be delegated to a machine.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ai-kanava-talous-tekoaly-ja-euroopan-rooli/
- 2024-05-22 — [European Defence and the Russian Threat | Pekka Toveri | Negotiator 250](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep250-euroopan-puolustus-venajan-uhka-pekka-toveri/index.md): Major General (ret.) Pekka Toveri assesses what happens if Putin wins in Ukraine on his own terms. His central claim is precise: Russia cannot challenge NATO militarily except with nuclear weapons, but it can challenge the credibility of Article 5 — and the Narva scenario, with its nuclear blackmail, is exactly that test. The episode works through Europe's bleak defence-industrial bottlenecks, the best known being that the entire continent has one TNT factory, and Europe's dependence on American capabilities from intelligence to strategic airlift. Toveri also explains why the EU sustainability taxonomy files defence industry alongside tobacco, and why conscription gives Finland a recruitment advantage that professional armies cannot buy. Recorded in May 2024, just before the European elections in which Toveri was elected an MEP.
  - sections: research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ep250-euroopan-puolustus-venajan-uhka-pekka-toveri/
- 2023-03-13 — [Ukraine's Tanks and Finnish Security Policy | Pekka Toveri | Neuvottelija 181](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep181-ukrainan-tankit-suomen-turpo-pekka-toveri/index.md): Major General retired Pekka Toveri and Sami Miettinen analyze tactical observations from the Ukraine war, armored vehicle deployment, and structural issues in the Russian military. The episode examines tank vulnerabilities, Bayraktar drones, and Western anti tank weaponry effectiveness. Toveri reflects on Russian command structures, logistical failures, and intelligence miscalculations. The discussion also evaluates NATO posture, air defense, and China strategic positioning.
  - sections: research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ep181-ukrainan-tankit-suomen-turpo-pekka-toveri/
- 2022-05-06 — [An investment banker's view | Sami Miettinen on inderesPodi 122](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/inderespodi-122-investointipankkiirin-nakokulma/index.md): Sauli Vilén sets out to pull back the curtain on what actually happens behind an IPO, and Miettinen answers in unusual operational detail: how a lead manager is chosen, why the anchor negotiation is the single most important phase, who is allowed to see the order book, what a cut-back mechanism does, why retail allocation ends up at one per cent, and when a banker should blow the whistle rather than drag a company to market. Then M&A — share consideration versus cash, synergy numbers pulled from thin air — and finally fiscal dominance and the euro.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/inderespodi-122-investointipankkiirin-nakokulma/
- 2022-03-19 — [Putin and Russia's Strategic Culture | Martti J. Kari | Neuvottelija 126](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep126-putin-ja-venajan-strateginen-kulttuuri-martti-j-kari/index.md): Colonel (ret.) and intelligence researcher Martti J. Kari takes Russia's strategic culture apart layer by layer on the Neuvottelija channel: the cruelty inherited from Mongol rule, the lost proto-democracy of Kievan Rus, the idea of God-given autocracy that moved to Moscow after Constantinople fell, and why the infallible tsar's mistakes always land on the boyars. Featuring Ukraine as buffer zone and invasion route, intelligence failure on the Yom Kippur model, confirmation bias in Putin's inner circle, the rivalry between the FSB, SVR and GRU, the Lubyanka raid and Beseda's house arrest, oligarchs holding possession without ownership, the palace-coup culture, Kari's two years drafting Finland's intelligence laws, tactical truth and gibridnaja pravda, the unbroken line of influence operations from the Cheka in 1923, and NATO as a question of generations. Recorded 19 March 2022, three weeks into the invasion. Kari died on 30 August 2023.
  - sections: society, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/yhteiskunta/ep126-putin-ja-venajan-strateginen-kulttuuri-martti-j-kari/
- 2022-01-21 — [Inflation and fiscal dominance | Sami Miettinen on Puheenaihe 198](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/puheenaihe-198-inflaatio-ja-fiskaalidominanssi/index.md): Leevi Leivo puts a listener's question about the price of pasta to Sami Miettinen and Inderes analyst Sauli Vilén, and the answer runs from supply bottlenecks to why the ECB cannot raise rates at all. The episode explains fiscal dominance, the asset price inflation nobody measures, why the risk-free rate has become a guaranteed loss, and who actually pays when inflation runs at five per cent.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/puheenaihe-198-inflaatio-ja-fiskaalidominanssi/
- 2021-05-25 — [Personality Profiling Does Not Work | Sinnu Savola | Negotiator 81](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep81-persoonallisuusprofilointi-ei-toimi-sinnu-savola/index.md): Psychologist Sinnu Savola says plainly that DISC and Myers-Briggs are not used in professional psychology, and explains why: a weak scientific basis, forced choices between items that are not opposites, and a model that pushes very different people into the same box. Big Five is statistically sounder but still needs a representative sample. The core claim: psychometric properties, IQ included, work statistically but poorly at the level of one individual.
  - sections: research, tools
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ep81-persoonallisuusprofilointi-ei-toimi-sinnu-savola/
- 2021-04-18 — [Wicked Problems | Eija-Riitta Korhola | Negotiator 73](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep73-ilkeat-ongelmat-eija-riitta-korhola/index.md): Doctor of philosophy and 15-year MEP Eija-Riitta Korhola explains what makes a problem wicked: a one-dimensional solution creates further problems. The practical cases are blocking the waste incineration directive as a first-term MEP, the swinging regulation of biofuels, and Germany's Energiewende. The episode closes on why labelling people's motives poisons decision-making, and why one must be able to change one's mind.
  - sections: society, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/yhteiskunta/ep73-ilkeat-ongelmat-eija-riitta-korhola/
- 2021-03-21 — [Self-Driving Cars and Unikie | Erkka Niemi | Negotiator 69](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep69-itseohjautuvat-autot-unikie-erkka-niemi/index.md): Unikie CTO Erkka Niemi sets out where autonomous driving actually stands: from the DARPA challenges to Waymo, why lidar is the field's number-one technology and why Tesla's camera-only line puzzles the industry, and the five levels of autonomy. Includes the liability question in a fatal accident, Unikie's approach of moving sensors from the car into the car park's walls, and the surprisingly large business case in automating a car factory's internal logistics.
  - sections: research, economy
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ep69-itseohjautuvat-autot-unikie-erkka-niemi/
- 2021-02-16 — [Elon Musk's Bitcoins and DeFi | Martin Wichmann | Negotiator 64](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep64-elon-muskin-bitcoinit-defi-martin-wichmann/index.md): The opening episode of a crypto series. Martin Wichmann, one of Aave's founders, explains what decentralised finance means and why Ethereum's smart contracts set it apart from the Bitcoin protocol. Covers proof of work against proof of stake, the collateral behind stablecoins and Tether's audit problem, the ICO boom and the SEC's Howey test, and Lagarde's digital euro and its risk to the deposit base of banks.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep64-elon-muskin-bitcoinit-defi-martin-wichmann/
- 2020-11-15 — [Neoclassical economics and its history | Juhana Vartiainen | Negotiator 46](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep46-uusklassinen-taloustiede-ja-historia-juhana-vartiainen/index.md): Juhana Vartiainen traces the development of macroeconomics from Adam Smith to the present: the division of labour, Ricardo's comparative advantage and Dani Rodrik's argument that the losers explain Trumpism, Marx as valid analysis of a transient historical phase, Marshall's marginalism, Keynes as the founder of macroeconomics and Hayek as the counterweight. The closing section covers Friedman's critique of inflation expectations, central bank independence that succeeded rather too well, and why Vartiainen does not consider Modern Monetary Theory new — along with where its real risk lies.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep46-uusklassinen-taloustiede-ja-historia-juhana-vartiainen/
- 2020-11-10 — [MMT, or Modern Monetary Theory | Lauri Holappa | Negotiator 45](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep45-mmt-moderni-rahateoria-lauri-holappa/index.md): Lauri Holappa, who wrote his doctoral thesis on the mechanics of Modern Monetary Theory and served as economic policy adviser to Li Andersson through the coronavirus spring, works through MMT's foundations with Sami Miettinen. Both treat it as a description of the system rather than a policy recommendation. The episode runs from chartalism — taxation as the basis of a currency's value — through the demolition of the money multiplier, the mechanics of endogenous money, Holappa's bond market power fallacy, and why the real constraint is not credit markets but inflation. It closes on the actual causes of hyperinflation, Miettinen's ECU-2 proposal, and what a functioning euro would require.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep45-mmt-moderni-rahateoria-lauri-holappa/
- 2020-06-07 — [Antiquity and Negotiating Power | Juhana Torkki | Neuvottelija 22](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep22-antiikki-ja-neuvotteluvalta-juhana-torkki/index.md): Author and translator Juhana Torkki and his co-author Sami Miettinen trace, in Turku, the arc from a doctoral thesis on the rhetoric of the apostle Paul through the books Puhevalta and Uusi neuvotteluvalta to Finnish translations of Seneca and Plutarch. The episode explains why an ancient letter required the whole thought to be finished before writing began and how slowness deepens thinking. The discussion contrasts Plutarch's practical techniques for governing the mind with Stoic determinism and the doctrine of the perfect sage, and asks what the patron-client relationship and etymological discoveries reveal about our own time. It closes on Quintilian's claim that a good speaker must first be a good person, and why workplace communication is needlessly abstract.
  - sections: research, tools
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/research/ep22-antiikki-ja-neuvotteluvalta-juhana-torkki/
- 2020-05-29 — [Futucast and the Podcast Community | William von der Pahlen and Isak Rautio | Neuvottelija 21](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep21-futucast-podcast-yhteiso-william-von-der-pahlen-isak-rautio/index.md): Futucast hosts William von der Pahlen and Isak Rautio tell Sami Miettinen how a podcast started as a by-product of content marketing grew into radio, the Slush stage and Finlandia Hall. The episode considers Elon Musk's neural link vision and the world of Iain M. Banks's Culture novels as a precursor to conversation moving onto an interface faster than a keyboard. The discussion compares the Finnish podcast scene with the early years of stand-up comedy and asks why Finland lacks the American culture of cross-channel guest appearances when podcasters have no shared meeting place. It closes on the role of improvisation and intuition in long form conversation and why video deserves investment.
  - sections: tools, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/tools/ep21-futucast-podcast-yhteiso-william-von-der-pahlen-isak-rautio/
- 2020-05-06 — [Corona Black Swan 2 | Tuomas Malinen | Neuvottelija 18](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep18-korona-black-swan-2-tuomas-malinen/index.md): Tuomas Malinen of GnS Economics and Sami Miettinen continue their analysis of the pandemic economy and clarify why its economic impact meets the criteria of a black swan. The episode identifies the two conditions required for hyperinflation, the role of central bank financing of governments, and how the interbank market can force rates up despite central bank policy. The discussion covers ECB conduct, the German constitutional court ruling on PSPP, the zombification of the banking sector, and security of supply and food as national questions. It closes on the lag before the real economy is hit, the changing role of the Fed, and creative destruction visible in M&A.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep18-korona-black-swan-2-tuomas-malinen/
- 2020-03-24 — [Helsinki After Corona | Mikko Särelä | Neuvottelija 10](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep10-helsinki-koronan-jalkeen-mikko-sarela/index.md): Mikko Särelä and Sami Miettinen discuss urban planning, high-density housing advantages, and how the coronavirus pandemic impacts mobility and city structures. The episode analyzes remote work adoption, urban density trends, and mobile location data in city planning. The discussion also covers Eurozone economic challenges and public sector adaptability.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep10-helsinki-koronan-jalkeen-mikko-sarela/
- 2020-03-13 — [Corona and the Black Swan – Tuomas Malinen | Neuvottelija 9](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep9-korona-black-swan-tuomas-malinen/index.md): Macroeconomist Tuomas Malinen (GNS Economics) analyzes the coronavirus in March 2020 as a 'black swan': why the pandemic itself would only be a trigger, when the world economy has been driven into a state of fragility. In Malinen's view, three weak points — China's mountain of debt, Europe's banking sector, and the US capital-market bubble — threaten to unravel at once. Featuring Taleb's antifragility, the September 2019 repo market, central-bank balance sheets, helicopter money, Finland's fight for survival, and a defense of the market mechanism.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep9-korona-black-swan-tuomas-malinen/
- 2020-03-11 — [Work Psychology in Recruitment – Juho Toivola | Neuvottelija 8](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep8-tyopsykologia-rekrytoinnissa-juho-toivola/index.md): Work and organizational psychologist Juho Toivola explains what personality science actually tells us in recruitment: why Big Five beats DISC-style quadrants, how tests can be 'gamed', what the socially desirable ideal profile is, whether extroversion predicts sales success, how executive search works as a networking business, and why everyone must manage their own market value before they need it. Featuring the platform economy, the disruption of expert work, and LinkedIn visibility.
  - sections: tools, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/tools/ep8-tyopsykologia-rekrytoinnissa-juho-toivola/
- 2020-02-14 — [Rahapodi's Portfolio Theory – Martin Paasi | Neuvottelija 5](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep5-rahapodin-portfolioteoria-martin-paasi/index.md): Rahapodi's Martin Paasi unpacks the core of portfolio theory: why 'nobody knows anything', what alpha, beta, and CAPM mean, how Warren Buffett and Bridgewater generate excess returns by leveraging boring quality companies, and why the low-cost index investor statistically ends up in the top quartile. Finally, salary as a return vector and the mathematics of long-term saving.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep5-rahapodin-portfolioteoria-martin-paasi/
- 2020-02-09 — [Ownership and How a Millionaire Negotiates – Rami Kurimo & Tero Luoma | Neuvottelija 4](https://ai.neuvottelija.com/ep4-omistajuus-puheenaihe-rami-kurimo-tero-luoma/index.md): How does a millionaire negotiate? Sami Miettinen guested on the Puheenaihe podcast (host Rami Kurimo) to discuss ownership and negotiation with investor and board professional Tero Luoma. The four levers of negotiation — power, analytical skill, sociability, and principle — sit differently for the wealthy, and power rises above the rest. Featuring anchoring and the role of emotion in M&A.
  - sections: economy, research
  - suomeksi: https://ai.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep4-omistajuus-puheenaihe-rami-kurimo-tero-luoma/

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